Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction and Picks – September 23rd, 2024

Home » Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction and Picks – September 23rd, 2024

Cubs vs. Phillies – Game Preview (September 23, 2024)

The Chicago Cubs and Philadelphia Phillies square off tonight in a crucial late-season matchup at Citizens Bank Park. Both teams are battling for playoff positioning, and each win is vital as the regular season winds down.

Game Information:

  • Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
  • Time: 7:05 PM ET
  • Starting Pitchers:
    • Cubs: Justin Steele (15-8, 2.91 ERA)
    • Phillies: Aaron Nola (14-9, 3.77 ERA)

Team Previews:

Chicago Cubs (82-74):
The Cubs enter this game in the thick of the NL Wild Card race. Justin Steele has been a dominant force on the mound, boasting a 2.91 ERA and ranking among the league’s best in WHIP and strikeouts. Chicago’s offense is led by Dansby Swanson and Cody Bellinger, who have been delivering clutch hits throughout the season. The Cubs will look to their mix of young talent and veteran leadership to secure another important win on the road.

Philadelphia Phillies (84-72):
The Phillies, currently holding a Wild Card spot, have been powered by a potent lineup, featuring Bryce Harper, Trea Turner, and Kyle Schwarber. Aaron Nola will take the mound tonight, aiming to bounce back from a couple of inconsistent starts. Philadelphia’s offense remains one of the most dangerous in the National League, averaging over five runs per game at home. The Phillies will need Nola to regain his form as they push toward securing their playoff berth.

Key Factors:

  1. Pitching Matchup:
    Both starters, Steele and Nola, are capable of dominating lineups, but Nola’s inconsistency could give the Cubs an edge. Steele’s ability to miss bats and limit walks will be critical against a Phillies team known for their power-hitting.
  2. Offensive Production:
    The Cubs have been steady but will need timely hitting to overcome Philadelphia’s home-field advantage. The Phillies, on the other hand, thrive in their hitter-friendly park and will rely on their sluggers to break through against Steele.

Betting Picks:

  1. Moneyline:
    This is a tight contest, but the Phillies have the slight edge due to home-field advantage. However, if Steele can maintain his sharpness, the Cubs are a solid value pick as underdogs.
  2. Over/Under (8.5 runs):
    With two quality pitchers on the mound and both teams in a playoff race, this game could lean towards a lower-scoring affair. Taking the Under 8.5 runs is a reasonable play, especially considering the potential for a pitcher’s duel.

Final Prediction:

  • Phillies 4, Cubs 3
    Expect a close, low-scoring game with both teams leaning heavily on their starting pitchers. While the Phillies’ offense may find a way to edge out the Cubs, it will be a tight battle until the final out.
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