Understanding Consensus Data

Ticket Percentage

The percentage of total bets placed on each side of a market. This represents how many individual wagers have been placed, regardless of size.

Handle Percentage

The percentage of total money wagered on each side. This represents the actual dollar volume and can differ significantly from ticket percentages when large bets are placed.

Sharp Action

Indicates where professional bettors appear to be placing their money. Sharp action is identified through various signals including:

  • Reverse line movement (line moves against the public consensus)
  • Large discrepancies between ticket % and handle %
  • Significant line movement despite balanced betting percentages

How to Use Consensus Data

Consensus data can be valuable in several ways:

  • Identifying contrarian opportunities: Betting against heavily public-backed sides often provides value
  • Following sharp money: When sharp action diverges from public money, the sharps are often right
  • Understanding line movement: Consensus data helps explain why lines move in certain directions
NFL
Philadelphia Eagles @ Kansas City Chiefs
Nov 5, 8:20 PM
Spread Consensus
Kansas City Chiefs -3.5

Ticket Percentage

Kansas City Chiefs
Philadelphia Eagles
62%
38%

Handle Percentage

Kansas City Chiefs
Philadelphia Eagles
70%
30%

Sharp Action

On Kansas City Chiefs
Total Consensus
O/U 51.5

Ticket Percentage

Over
Under
55%
45%

Handle Percentage

Over
Under
60%
40%

Sharp Action

On Over
Moneyline Consensus

Ticket Percentage

Kansas City Chiefs
Philadelphia Eagles
65%
35%

Handle Percentage

Kansas City Chiefs
Philadelphia Eagles
72%
28%

Sharp Action

On Kansas City Chiefs
NBA
Boston Celtics @ Los Angeles Lakers
Nov 6, 10:30 PM
Spread Consensus
Boston Celtics -3

Ticket Percentage

Boston Celtics
Los Angeles Lakers
53%
47%

Handle Percentage

Boston Celtics
Los Angeles Lakers
45%
55%

Sharp Action

On Los Angeles Lakers
Total Consensus
O/U 224.5

Ticket Percentage

Over
Under
70%
30%

Handle Percentage

Over
Under
65%
35%

Sharp Action

No Clear Sharp Action
Moneyline Consensus

Ticket Percentage

Los Angeles Lakers
Boston Celtics
45%
55%

Handle Percentage

Los Angeles Lakers
Boston Celtics
40%
60%

Sharp Action

On Boston Celtics
MLB
Houston Astros @ New York Yankees
Nov 7, 7:05 PM
Spread Consensus
New York Yankees -1.5

Ticket Percentage

New York Yankees
Houston Astros
45%
55%

Handle Percentage

New York Yankees
Houston Astros
40%
60%

Sharp Action

On Houston Astros
Total Consensus
O/U 9.5

Ticket Percentage

Over
Under
48%
52%

Handle Percentage

Over
Under
45%
55%

Sharp Action

On Under
Moneyline Consensus

Ticket Percentage

New York Yankees
Houston Astros
58%
42%

Handle Percentage

New York Yankees
Houston Astros
55%
45%

Sharp Action

No Clear Sharp Action
NHL
Toronto Maple Leafs @ Tampa Bay Lightning
Nov 7, 7:30 PM
Spread Consensus
Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5

Ticket Percentage

Tampa Bay Lightning
Toronto Maple Leafs
30%
70%

Handle Percentage

Tampa Bay Lightning
Toronto Maple Leafs
35%
65%

Sharp Action

On Toronto Maple Leafs
Total Consensus
O/U 6.5

Ticket Percentage

Over
Under
62%
38%

Handle Percentage

Over
Under
55%
45%

Sharp Action

No Clear Sharp Action
Moneyline Consensus

Ticket Percentage

Tampa Bay Lightning
Toronto Maple Leafs
60%
40%

Handle Percentage

Tampa Bay Lightning
Toronto Maple Leafs
65%
35%

Sharp Action

On Tampa Bay Lightning

Consensus Betting Tips

The Contrarian Approach

Betting against the public (going "contrarian") can be profitable, especially when more than 70% of tickets are on one side. The sports betting market tends to overvalue favorites and popular teams.

Ticket vs. Handle Discrepancies

When there's a significant difference between ticket percentage and handle percentage, it often indicates sharp money on the side with the higher handle relative to tickets. This "smart money" signal can be valuable.

Reverse Line Movement

When a line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages (e.g., line moves toward a team despite most bets being against them), it's a strong indication of sharp money. This "reverse line movement" is a powerful signal.

Timing Matters

Consensus data tends to be most valuable closer to game time when more bets have been placed. However, early sharp action can provide an opportunity to get value before lines adjust to reflect professional opinion.